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US: Core inflation set to remain below target - Westpac

Analysts at Westpac expect the US headline and core CPI outcomes to be soft in October, with both likely to print at 0.1%.

Key Quotes

“On both a CPI and PCE basis, there is no cause for concern on inflation.”

“September's headline CPI outcome was dominated by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Following a 0.4% gain in August (also hurricane affected), prices rose 0.5% in September. That left the annual pace at 2.2%yr.”

“Of the monthly gain, 75% of the increase reportedly came from a surge in gasoline prices after refining operations were heavily impacted by the weather.”

“Abstracting from this factor, inflation pressures remained benign. The core CPI rose by just 0.1%, leaving the annual rate unchanged at 1.7%yr for a fifth consecutive month.”

US: Focus on Empire State Survey and business inventories - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura expect manufacturers’ optimism in the Greater New York area to remain elevated in November and forecast a headline reading of 26 fo
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Australia: Moderation in wage pressures – BBH

Australian wage pressure was more moderate than expected, rising 0.5% in Q3, the same as in Q2 even as economists were looking for a larger increase,
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