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13 Jan 2020
US stock positioning at extreme levels - Deutsche Bank
US stock positioning is near extreme levels, a sign the investors have run ahead of themselves in pricing improving global growth, according to Deutsche Bank AG.
"It is now in the 96th percentile on our consolidated measure, with a wide variety of metrics very stretched,' strategists Parag Thatte, Srineel Jalagani and Binky Chadha wrote in a note Friday, according to Bloomberg.
Extended metrics include:
- Systematic strategy exposure highest since January 2018.
- Longs in emerging-market futures have risen to record highs.
- Call/put volume ratios are at the top of their historical range.
- Short interest in single stocks is near record lows.
- Short interest in exchange-traded funds has fallen to a new low.
Put simply, the stock market rally looks overdone and a notable pullback could be in the offing, in which case, the anti-risk yen will likely attract strong bids.